outside the capitol building

03.19.21

MHA Today | March 19, 2021

Actions

Type

MHA Today

MHA Today is provided as a service to members of the Missouri Hospital Association.

Past issues are available in the Media Library.

Insights

PAYGO isn’t a crypto-currency or easy way to send money through your smart device. It is shorthand for the congressional “pay as you go” policy. The policy requires — unless waived by lawmakers — that any new spending be offset by cuts to existing spending for deficit control. The system has been in place since 2010 and has generally not been used as a partisan cudgel when lawmakers move spending through the reconciliation process.

The recent $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package was adopted without a PAYGO waiver. House Democrats have introduced legislation to waive the PAYGO policy for the American Rescue Plan Act, and to extend the existing freeze on the longstanding Medicare sequester through the end of the pandemic. Both issues are extremely consequential to hospitals and health care providers. Without PAYGO waived, the law would require massive cuts to health care spending. At the same time, without additional legislation, the 2% Medicare sequester — in place since late in the Obama administration — could return before the end of the pandemic.

Unfortunately, despite the broad and bipartisan public support for the relief legislation, the PAYGO waiver could develop into an extremely consequential and highly political game of chicken between the parties.

What Congress does will be consequential. According to Paul Keckley, the relief package without PAYGO, could require “reductions in Medicare spending of 4% next year, totaling $36 billion. That means lower reimbursement by Medicare to hospitals, physicians and other providers on the heels of pandemic-derived operating losses projected to be $373 billion to $442 billion for 2020-2021.”

Although the maximum statutory cut to most of the Medicare program is 4%, it’s clear that in a post-pandemic world, this scale of cuts would be devastating to health care providers. However, health care programs are not the only programs at risk if PAYGO is not waived. Experts suggest that the size of the relief package could, under PAYGO, require harmful cuts to other federal programs like student aid, state unemployment operations and some farm programs.

Chicken is not a game designed to result in calamity. It is fundamentally about determining your pain points and acceptance of risk, and that of your opponent. In a successful game of chicken, one or both parties turn away from the danger.

In Washington, agreement on the danger can sometimes be hard to find. For example, despite public support, members of Congress are debating whether the law was designed to bridge the nation into recovery or determine the nature of the safety net post-recovery. There are questions about why PAYGO and an extension of the waiver of the 2% sequestration weren’t included in the relief package but are being pursued independently.

The question then arises — was this omission designed to create a “major” political issue, where one party can create a wedge issue against the other? As one Democratic leader in the House of Representatives claimed, “If Republicans play political games and don’t do their jobs, Medicare and the seniors that depend on it will pay the price.” Or, can this issue be used as a tool for the minority party — in this case, the GOP — to extract policy concessions?

Whether oversight or strategy, the answers are less important than the implications. This cliff must be averted. A PAYGO waiver is necessary for the integrity of the Medicare program — to avoid calamitous reductions in provider payment and to sustain the program for Medicare beneficiaries.

When the pandemic is over, there will be ample time to engage in a spirited debate about the effectiveness of the numerous relief bills and the future of spending policy. To effect PAYGO and unleash massive cuts to Medicare — just as hospitals and health care providers are beginning to return to normal — would invite catastrophe.

The game of chicken only works if neither player is intent on actual harm.

Let me know what you’re thinking.

Herb Kuhn, MHA President & CEO

 

 

Herb B. Kuhn
MHA President and CEO

In This Issue

U.S. House Advances Sequestration Waiver And PAYGO Legislation
Biden Administration Withdraws Arkansas Medicaid Work Requirement Approval
Xavier Becerra Confirmed As HHS Secretary
HHS Delays Trump Rule On Regulatory Review
MHA Reports Program Years 2019-2021 Medicare Pay-for-Performance Overview
MLN Connects Provider eNews Available
Updated COVID-19 Vaccine Dashboard Available
HIDI Opens 2020 Annual Licensing Survey Of Missouri Hospitals
Patient Safety Awareness Week Highlight: Creating A High Reliability Organization
FMT Publishes Policy Brief Evaluating The Use Of CAH Cohorts For Quality Improvement Activities
CMS Alerts Users Action May Be Needed To Receive Reports Through Managed File Transfer
Dwayne Proctor To Succeed Bob Hughes As Missouri Foundation For Health CEO
NIMH Seeks Input On Rural Mental Health Disparities
Poplar Bluff Regional Medical Center Names Interim CEO
Truman Medical Centers Prepares For Mega Vaccination Event

Advocacy
Regulatory News
HIDI Tech Connect
Quality and Population Health
Noteworthy
CEO Updates
COVID-19 Updates
Back to Top